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2016-17 NCAA Basketball Thread: This is March.


RyanMcD29

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That Northwestern play was awesome...I saw it live and when the ball was in the air I thought "that's going out of bounds and now Michigan gets it in their offensive zone."  It was a gutsy call and a better pass than Grant Hill's.

Disclaimer: If this comment is about an NBA uniform from 2017-2018 or later, do not constitute a lack of acknowledgement of the corporate logo to mean anything other than "the corporate logo is terrible and makes the uniform significantly worse."

 

BADGERS TWINS VIKINGS TIMBERWOLVES WILD

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Handicapping the state's schools and their chances of reaching the tournament:

 

Georgia - What they have going for them is a strong schedule and will finish no worse than .500 in conference play.  The negatives are that they haven't really beaten an opponent of real quality (but a lot of close losses!), their co-best player is likely done for the year with a knee injury, and the SEC isn't a good basketball league.  To have a real chance, they need to win at Arkansas and probably make it to Saturday in the conference tournament and have their Saturday game be close (if not win).  The ESPN bracket guy had UGA in his "First Four Out" this week, so they're closer than I thought they should be.  I once saw a Georgia team that had a record of like 16-14 get an at-large berth, so weirder things have happened.

 

Georgia Tech - Probably the state's overall best chance for landing a tournament bid.  They've beaten some good, highly-ranked teams in the ACC (North Carolina, Florida State, Notre Dame) and will finish either 8-10 or .500 in conference play in the country's best conference.  But they've also laid some eggs, too.  They probably need to beat Syracuse this weekend, then win a game or two in the conference tournament.

 

GA State/GA Southern - In the one-bid Fun Belt, these two have been in the top four of the conference all season.  State probably has the better chance, but either will have to win the conference tournament.  Definitely the best chance for any state school to win their conference championship.

 

Mercer/Kennesaw State/Savannah State - Obviously win the tournament and they're in, and haven't heard much of anything of these teams, so they're longshots.

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17 minutes ago, HedleyLamarr said:

Handicapping the state's schools and their chances of reaching the tournament:

 

Georgia - What they have going for them is a strong schedule and will finish no worse than .500 in conference play.  The negatives are that they haven't really beaten an opponent of real quality (but a lot of close losses!), their co-best player is likely done for the year with a knee injury, and the SEC isn't a good basketball league.  To have a real chance, they need to win at Arkansas and probably make it to Saturday in the conference tournament and have their Saturday game be close (if not win).  The ESPN bracket guy had UGA in his "First Four Out" this week, so they're closer than I thought they should be.  I once saw a Georgia team that had a record of like 16-14 get an at-large berth, so weirder things have happened.

 

Georgia Tech - Probably the state's overall best chance for landing a tournament bid.  They've beaten some good, highly-ranked teams in the ACC (North Carolina, Florida State, Notre Dame) and will finish either 8-10 or .500 in conference play in the country's best conference.  But they've also laid some eggs, too.  They probably need to beat Syracuse this weekend, then win a game or two in the conference tournament.

 

GA State/GA Southern - In the one-bid Fun Belt, these two have been in the top four of the conference all season.  State probably has the better chance, but either will have to win the conference tournament.  Definitely the best chance for any state school to win their conference championship.

 

Mercer/Kennesaw State/Savannah State - Obviously win the tournament and they're in, and haven't heard much of anything of these teams, so they're longshots.

UGA is 54 in RPI, 53 in KenPom, their record is 18-12 (9-8 SEC). They have the best shot of the schools you mentioned to get an at-large.

Georgia Tech is 91 in RPI, 76 at KenPom, their record is 17-13 (8-9 ACC). It'll be tough for them.

Georgia State is 121 in RPI, 120 at KenPom, their record is 18-11 (11-6 SBC). They're not likely getting in.

Georgia Southern is 115 in RPI, 158 at KenPom, their record is 18-12 (11-6 SBC). Same as GA. State.

Kennesaw State is 14-17 (7-7 A-Sun). Not happening.

Mercer is 15-16 (9-9 SoCon). Not happening.

Savannah State is 12-16 (9-6 MEAC). Not happening.

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Well, Kennesaw State is playing Florida Gulf Coast in the A-Sun semis tonight, so they have a chance... but it requires winning at Dunk City and then winning at either North Florida or Lipscomb to get in.

 

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It's time! The first automatic bid on the line tonight...

 

Ohio Valley - Nashville, TN

 

#4 Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. #2 UT-Martin Skyhawks

 

Records

JSU: 19-14 (9-7)

UTM: 21-11 (10-6)

 

In the OVC, the division champs are rewarded with the top 2 seeds, something that UT-Martin earned despite a 10-6 record in conference play. They only had one game to play, a hard fought win against stubborn Murray State to get here. Jacksonville State, on the other hand, is confident... and who wouldn't be after stunning top seed and conference bully Belmont? Now, the Gamecocks have a chance to take down the other division champ... can they succeed or is it time for the Skyhawks to fly high?

 

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9 hours ago, Seadragon76 said:

It's time! The first automatic bid on the line tonight...

 

Ohio Valley - Nashville, TN

 

#4 Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. #2 UT-Martin Skyhawks

 

Records

JSU: 19-14 (9-7)

UTM: 21-11 (10-6)

 

In the OVC, the division champs are rewarded with the top 2 seeds, something that UT-Martin earned despite a 10-6 record in conference play. They only had one game to play, a hard fought win against stubborn Murray State to get here. Jacksonville State, on the other hand, is confident... and who wouldn't be after stunning top seed and conference bully Belmont? Now, the Gamecocks have a chance to take down the other division champ... can they succeed or is it time for the Skyhawks to fly high?

What makes it even more interesting is, neither school has ever been to the Big Dance before...so it's the most important game in school history for both teams.

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Congrats to Jacksonville State as they earn the first of 32 automatic bids. Three more are up for grabs tomorrow...

 

Big South

 

#7 Campbell Fighting Camels at #1 Winthrop Eagles

 

Records:

CAMP: 17-16 (7-11)

WIN: 25-6 (15-3)

 

It's becoming old hat for Winthrop being in the Big South final, but they must keep their guard up this time after surviving a massive scare from Gardner-Webb in the semifinals. Now, they face a red hot Campbell team that has rode it's horse, Chris Clemons, to this point. His 51 point performance against UNC-Asheville set a record. Can he carry the Camels over the proverbial hump or does Winthrop continue is reign as kings?

 

Missouri Valley - St. Louis, MO

 

#2 Wichita State Shockers vs. #1 Illinois State Redbirds

 

Records:

WICH: 29-4 (17-1)

IL ST: 27-5 (17-1)

 

This is the rubber match between the MVC's best as these two have fought back and forth all season long. The Redbirds won on their home court in the first go around, only to see Wichita State crack them upside the head with a 41 point beating. The Redbirds took the top seed thanks to the RPI, but in this rubber match.. that doesn't matter. It's about which team wants it more... whoever wins will go on. As for the loser? A week of praying and hoping their bubble doesn't burst

 

Atlantic Sun

 

#3 North Florida Ospreys at #1 Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

 

Records:

UNF: 15-18 (6-8)

FGCU: 25-7 (12-2)

 

It's going to be the 6th year in a row the either North Florida or Florida Gulf Coast has been in the title game, which is a real testament to how good these programs are. FGCU has made it twice, including last season where they won in the First Four. North Florida was there two years ago. Do we see the return of Dunk City or do the Ospreys spring the trap in Fort Myers?

 

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