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College Football Premeirship (2009 season)

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Ever since ESPN published an article outlining a two-tier structure for Division I-A football, I have been fascinated by how that structure would work in real life. Over the last two weeks, I have taken it upon myself to simulate how the structure would play out. To run the simulation, I used on the field results, Football Outsiders' F +/- rankings, to simulate matchups. The first season in the simulation will be 2009, where there will be 40 teams in the top-tier called the "Premiership" and 80 teams in the "Challenge" tier. The Premiership has four conferences where each team plays each other in a round-robin format. The Challenge's structure is the same but has eight conferences. 


The National Champion for the Premiership will be determined by an 8-team playoff, with each conference champion hosting a quarterfinal match, while the semis and finals are played on a neutral field. Each conference runner-up will qualify for the playoffs and face an inter-conference opponent. Teams that finish in last place in the Premiership will be relegated to the Challenge tier, while the 9th place teams will have a four-team "survival" playoff. If a team wins, they are safe. The two teams that lose their first game will face each other to become "The Final Survivor."


In the Challenge tier, each conference winner is placed in Challenge Trophy playoffs. Each quarterfinal match doubles as a Premiership qualification match. The four teams that lose their quarterfinal match will be entered into a "redemption" playoff. The team that wins twice will also be promoted.


The conference alignments are based on each school's location.





Boston College, Michigan, Michigan State, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Penn State, Pitt, Va Tech, W. Virigina, Wisconsin



Arkansas, Iowa, LSU, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Okla State, Ole Miss, TCU, Texas, Texas A&M



Alabama, Auburn, Clemson, Florida, Florida State, Georgia, GA Tech, Miami-FL, S. Carolina, Tennessee



Arizona St, Boise St, BYU, Cal, Oregon, Oregon St, Texas Tech, UCLA, USC, Utah




UConn, Maryland, Navy, Army, Buffalo, Syracuse, Rutgers, Temple, Virginia, Marshall


Minnesota, Arkon, Cincy, Kent State, Miami-OH, Ohio, Toledo, C. Mich, E. Mich and W. Mich


Iowa St, Illinois, N. Illinois, N'Western, Kansas, K-State, Ball St, Indiana, Purdue, Mizzou


Baylor, Houston, Rice, SMU, Tulsa, LA Tech, LA-Lafayette, LA-Monroe, Tulane, Arkansas St


Mississippi St, Southern Miss, Troy St, UAB, FAU, FIU, South Florida, UCF, Memphis, Mid Tennessee St


Bowling Green, Kentucky, Louisville, W. Kentucky, Duke, E. Carolina, UNC, NC State, Wake Forest, Vandy


Fresno, San Diego St, San Jose St, Stanford, Hawaii, Washington, Washington St, Arizona, Nevada, UNLV


Idaho, Wyoming, New Mexico, New Mexico State, UTEP, Utah St, Air Force, Colorado, Colorado St, North Texas


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2009 Premiership Results



  1. VA Tech
  2. Ohio State
  3. Penn State
  4. Pitt
  5. Wisconsin
  6. West Virgina
  7. Notre Dame
  8. Boston College
  9. Michigan State
  10. Michigan (Relegated)


  1. Texas
  2. TCU
  3. Iowa
  4. LSU
  5. Nebraska
  6. Oklahoma
  7. Ole Miss
  8. Arkansas
  9. Okla State
  10. Texas A&M (Relegated)


  1. Alabama
  2. Florida
  3. Miami-FL
  4. GA Tech
  5. Clemson
  6. Florida St
  7. Georgia
  8. Auburn
  9. Tennessee
  10. S. Carolina (Relegated)


  1. Boise State
  2. Oregon
  3. Tx Tech
  4. BYU
  5. USC
  6. Utah
  7. Oregon St
  8. Cal
  9. UCLA
  10. AZ State (Relegated)

Survivor Playoffs

Oklahoma State def. Tennessee

Michigan State def. UCLA


UCLA def. Tennessee 20-17 (Tennessee Relegated)


National Championship Playoffs


Alabama def. TCU

VA Tech def. Oregon

Boise def. Florida

Texas def. Ohio State


Alabama def. Boise 44-30

VA Tech def. Texas 30-24


Alabama def. VA Tech 30-14


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53 minutes ago, Atomic said:

Will there be logos/artistic concepts to share?


Betting Lines:
Yes +600
No -1000

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Ok - let's give this a fair shot: 24 hours to produce a concept or we can lock this. Sound good?

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