Super Bowl Stats

[josh106802]

Bad luck for the Pats? In Super Bowl history, teams wearing white jerseys have won 27 times..teams in dark jerseys only 18. And, teams that wear a blue jersey during the big game (navy, royal or whatever you call the Seahawks' color) are only 5 and 11.

[PurpleRush]

Designated home teams are 20-25.

Pats in the SB are

0-1 in red

1-1 in white and

2-1 in blue.

2-2 as home team and 1-1 as road team.

[Davidson]

Getting a result of 27 'heads' results in 45 coin flips, would not be considered statistically significant. Indeed the cumulative probability of tossing a coin and getting 27 or more heads in 45 coin tosses is 11.6%. So 1 in 9. But presumably you would be equally impressed if you tossed 27 tails. So we can double the probability and we get a likelihood of between a fifth and a quarter that either heads or tails pops up 27 times. If you had the same 60% propensity for teams wearing white to win by the time we get to Super Bowl CC (200), then that would be far more unlikely to have occurred than with 47 Super Bowls. If I have explained it poorly, you might want to look up statistical significance and the idea of a 'p-value'.

Sports casting tends to be particularly guilty of making the logical fallacy; 'post hoc ergo propter hoc' ('after the fact, therefore because of the fact'). Finding trends that roughly match other trends and presuming that they somehow relate to each other. ie confusing correlation with causation.

Here's a fact for you. I have watched every Super Bowl since the first Bills/ Cowboys superbowl in the 90's (about 18 or so) and Ive only picked about 4 winners. I pick the Pats over the Giants for the weekend.

[PurpleRush]

Had some time on my hands.

The 5 blue shirted SB winners:

NYG - 21

NYG - 25

Denver - 32

NE - 36

NE - 38

The 11 blue shirted losers:

Baltimore - 3

Dallas - 5

Buffalo - 26

Buffalo - 27

Buffalo - 28

Tennessee - 34

NYG - 35

Seattle - 40

Chicago - 41

NE - 42

Indianapolis - 44

[phutmasterflex]

Before last year, the team wearing white had won the last six Super Bowls.

And I can't remember the exact number, but hasn't the NFC won the coin toss in 14 straight Super Bowls? Now that's something.

[PurpleRush]

More useless stats:

Longest winning streaks:

Away team - 4 (SB 41-44)

Home team - 3 (SB 17-19, SB 33-35)

Team wearing white - 6 (SB 39-44)

Team wearing colors - 3 (SB 36-38)

Teams wearing white have won three in a row 4 times (SB 5-7, SB 15-17, SB 26-28, SB 33-35)

Teams wearing colors have only won back to back years 3 times

other than the 3 straight listed above (SB 13-14, SB 18-19, SB 31-32)

Current streaks: Home team 1 win, Colored shirts 1 win.

Colored shirt winners:

Blue - 5 (NYG, NYG, DEN, NE, NE)

Red - 5 (KC, SF, SF, SF, TB)

Black - 4 (PIT, PIT, PIT, OAK)

Green - 4 (GB, MIA, GB, GB)

White shirted winners:

Dallas 5 (6,12,27,28,30)

Washington 3 (18,22,26)

Pittsburgh 3 (9,40,43)

San Francisco 2 (16,24)

Oakland 2 (11,15)

Everyone else with 1 time each:

Green Bay (2), NY Jets (3), Balt Colts (5), Miami (7), Chicago (20), Denver (33), St. Louis (34), Balt Ravens (35), NE (39), Indy (41), NYG (42), NO (44)

[PurpleRush]

Losses by jersey color:

Blue - 11 - all listed in prior post.

Red - 4 - KC (2), Wash (7), NE (20), Ariz (43)

Green - 4 - Mia (6), Phil (15), Mia (17), Phil (39)

Black - 3 - Cin (16), Pitt (30), Atl (33),

Orange - 3 - Den (12, 22, 24)

Purple - 2 - Minn (9, 11)

[josh106802]

Losses by jersey color:

Blue - 11 - all listed in prior post.

Red - 4 - KC (2), Wash (7), NE (20), Ariz (43)

Green - 4 - Mia (6), Phil (15), Mia (17), Phil (39)

Black - 3 - Cin (16), Pitt (30), Atl (33),

Orange - 3 - Den (12, 22, 24)

Purple - 2 - Minn (9, 11)

That is slightly off. This is correct:

Blue - 11 - all listed in prior post.

Red - 3 - Wash (7), NE (20), Ariz (43)

Green - 4 - Mia (6), Phil (15), Mia (17), Phil (39)

Black - 4 - Oak (2), Cin (16), Pitt (30), Atl (33),

Orange - 3 - Den (12, 22, 24)

Purple - 2 - Minn (9, 11)

[fuzzy510]

Had some time on my hands.

The 5 blue shirted SB winners:

NYG - 21

NYG - 25

Denver - 32

NE - 36

NE - 38

The 11 blue shirted losers:

Baltimore - 3

Dallas - 5

Buffalo - 26

Buffalo - 27

Buffalo - 28

Tennessee - 34

NYG - 35

Seattle - 40

Chicago - 41

NE - 42

Indianapolis - 44

Here's your more important stat: Eight of the 11 teams to lose a Super Bowl wearing blue have gone off as Vegas underdogs. The three exceptions are the Colts in SB III, the Pats in SB XLII, and the Colts in SB XLIV.

Baltimore (III) -18

Dallas (V) +2 1/2

Buffalo (XXVI) +7

Buffalo (XXVII) +6 1/2

Buffalo (XXVIII) +10 1/2

Tennessee (XXXIV) +7

New York (XXXV) +3

Seattle (XL) +4

Chicago (XLI) +7

New England (XLII) -12

Indianapolis (XLIV) -5

[PurpleRush]

Losses by jersey color:

Blue - 11 - all listed in prior post.

Red - 4 - KC (2), Wash (7), NE (20), Ariz (43)

Green - 4 - Mia (6), Phil (15), Mia (17), Phil (39)

Black - 3 - Cin (16), Pitt (30), Atl (33),

Orange - 3 - Den (12, 22, 24)

Purple - 2 - Minn (9, 11)

That is slightly off. This is correct:

Blue - 11 - all listed in prior post.

Red - 3 - Wash (7), NE (20), Ariz (43)

Green - 4 - Mia (6), Phil (15), Mia (17), Phil (39)

Black - 4 - Oak (2), Cin (16), Pitt (30), Atl (33),

Orange - 3 - Den (12, 22, 24)

Purple - 2 - Minn (9, 11)

Thanks, I mixed up SB 2 and 4.

[josh106802]

Sorry, Patriots. But you should have been following this forum before choosing your jerseys.

[PurpleRush]

So away teams improve to 26-20, teams wearing white improve to 28-18 and teams wearing blue fall to 5-12.

Pats are now a pedestrian 2-2 in blue unis.

[whitedawg22]

So away teams improve to 26-20, teams wearing white improve to 28-18 and teams wearing blue fall to 5-12.

Pats are now a pedestrian 2-2 in blue unis.

As a Lions fan, I only wish my team was a "pedestrian" 2-2 wearing blue uniforms in the Super Bowl.