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College Football Playoff Selection Committee


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http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/8927686/college-football-playoff-selection-committee-consist-14-20-members

"We want experienced football purists, experts," Hancock said.

The selection committee will receive a "jury charge" from the commissioners. In ranking the teams, the committee will consider strength of schedule, where the games were played, conference championships and whether teams lost games because of injuries to key players.

I think "purists" refers to the gut-feeling types (sports talk radio gambling odds fanatics, high school football coaches) and "experts" refers to computer polls and algorithms whose authors may or may not be alive.

-strength of schedule ("experts")

-where the games were played (toss-up)

-conference championships ("purists")

-injuries to key players (toss-up, slightly "purist" in determining which players are "key," slightly "expert" if medical data is available)

I would say that the purists are well-represented and would have a majority in this committee, but if both sides are represented evenly and the computers are allowed to refer to medical data, I think this could be a pretty even committee. The BCS currently uses 1/2-human (gut-feeling, purist) polls and 1/2-computer (data, expert) polls in calculating the BCS rankings.

This calculation is inevitable in a sports league (a mathematical assumption is apparent in all sports leagues in determining the best team in a league of three or more, think NHL "2-points-for-a-win" system).

Whether or not there exists a divide between purists and experts, I think may be open for debate here.

*I just heard on the radio that a sportsbook guy gave his accountant $100,000 to bet on games for a year, he came back with $108,000. That same sportsbook guy (who didn't know how to calculate percentages in his head) gambled $100,000 over a year also and came back with $260,000. I would consider this guy a "purist," and the accountant (math guy) an "expert."

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The ten-member basketball selection committee is made up of athletic directors and conference commissioners throughout Division I men's and women's basketball. (There are separate committees for the Division I men's and women's tournaments.) The committee, whose members serve 5-year terms, is chosen to ensure that conferences from around the country, both major and mid-major conferences, are represented. Generally the men's selection committee consists of all men, and the women's selection committee consists of all women, although there have been exceptions, including Lynn Hickey (see below), who is the 2nd woman to sit on the men's committee (after Charlotte athletic director Judy Rose, who served from 1999-2003), and Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference commissioner Richard Ensor, who serves on the women's committee. The tournament selection is only part of the committee members' duties; the panel meets year-round (in-person or through conference calls) to discuss the tournament and its administration, evaluate teams, assign tournament game officials, and determine future tournament sites.

To avoid a potential conflict of interest, committee members must leave the room when their own school is being discussed--or schools in the case of the conference commissioners. The member may be invited to answer factual questions regarding their team (e.g. status of player injuries). An athletic director may be present when other schools from his or her conference are discussed, but he or she may only speak if asked.

NCAA tournament selection committees are made up of 10 members (same for men's and women's) who serve 5-year terms.

The selection committee Chairman for the men's tournament for 2012-13 is the Athletic Director for Xavier University.

"Snubs" seem to be quantifiable:

A number of teams essentially know that they are assured of an at-large berth no matter their performance in their conference tournament. Most teams in the Top 25 in the national polls or RPI are essentially guaranteed at-large berths even if they do not win their respective conference tournament. However, teams that have been ranked heading into Selection Sunday, but didn't win their conference tournament, have been left out (or "snubbed") by the selection committee despite what the polls and pundits may say. The Missouri Valley Conference has received the most snubs (5 RPI top 40 teams excluded), with Missouri State left out each of the last 9 years, despite RPI's of 21, 34, and 36). Another famous snub was in 2004, when Utah State completed the regular season with a record of 25-2 but was snubbed after losing in its conference tournament, even though it was ranked in the polls at the time

...Being ranked in the USA Today/ESPN Coaches Top 25, AP Top 25, or RPI Top 40 seem to be the only ways to measure "snubs."

"Bracketology" is the science of predicting which teams will make the tournament.

The top "experts" in Bracketology are

Joe Lunardi - ESPN

Ken Pomeroy - Kenpom.com

Jerry Palm - CollegeRPI.com

Gary Parrish - CBS Sportsline

"At-large" bids are rarely ranked lower than a 12 seed.

The four "regions" of the tournament are determined after all 64-68 teams are ranked 1-68, and then the best #1 seed is put in the same region as the weakest #2 seed, etc...however, there are hindrances to this method, because teams from the same conference, cannot be placed in the same region, thus making the regions unbalanced. BYU can't play on Sundays, no intra-conference games until the second round, teams can't play games at their home court, etc...

The selection committee uses a number of factors to place teams on the S-curve, including record, strength of schedule, and the Ratings Percentage Index (RPI). The RPI rating is often considered a significant factor in selecting and seeding the final few teams in the tournament field, though the selection committee stresses that the RPI is used merely as a guideline and not as an infallible indicator of a team's worth.
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