Predicted Bowl Game Scores

[rock55choc]

I thought it would be an interesting project to take the average points for and average points against of each team in the 32 respective bowl match-ups. After reaching the avg. PF and avg. PA, match Team A's PF to Team B's PA and then average for the predicted team score and vice-versa for the other team. I realize this is NOT a very accurate indicator of how the game's score will turn out, because of the fact that teams usually play few common opponents along with several other factors. Nonetheless, this was a fun project and I hope you enjoy browsing the results. Feel free to comment, as you like.

Poinsettia Bowl

Utah: avg. PF= 26 and avg. PA= 16

Navy: avg. PF= 40 and avg. PA= 37

Predicted Outcome: 32-28 (Utah)

New Orleans Bowl

Florida Atlantic: avg. PF= 30 and avg. PA= 34

Memphis: avg. PF= 29 and avg. PA= 31

Predicted Outcome: 32-31 (Memphis)

Papa Johns Bowl (I refuse to recognize the need for .com in the bowl name)

Southern Miss: avg. PF= 28 and avg. PA= 24

Cincinnati: avg. PF= 37 and avg. PA= 19

Predicted Outcome: 31-24 (Cincinnati)

New Mexico Bowl

New Mexico: avg. PF= 25 and avg. PA= 21

Nevada: avg. PF= 36 and avg. PA= 33

Predicted Outcome: 29-29 (Overtime)

International Bowl

Rutgers: avg. PF= 31 and avg. PA= 22

Ball State: avg. PF= 32 and avg. PA= 26

Predicted Outcome: 29-27 (Rutgers)

GMAC Bowl

Tulsa: avg. PF= 39 and avg. PA= 35

Bowling Green: avg. PF= 32 and avg. PA= 30

Predicted Outcome: 35-34 (Tulsa)

Las Vegas Bowl

Brigham Young: avg. PF= 31 and avg. PA= 19

California Los Angeles: avg. PF= 23 and avg. PA= 23

Predicted Outcome: 27-21 (Brigham Young)

* UCLA won regular season meeting 27-17

Hawaii Bowl

Boise State: avg. PF= 43 and avg. PA= 20

East Carolina: avg. PF= 30 and avg. PA= 30

Predicted Outcome: 37-25 (Boise State)

Motor City Bowl

Purdue: avg. PF= 33 and avg. PA= 25

Central Michigan: avg. PF= 34 and avg. PA= 36

Predicted Outcome: 35-30 (Purdue)

*Purdue won regular season meeting 45-22

Holiday Bowl

Texas: avg. PF= 36 and avg. PA= 25

Arizona State: avg. PF= 32 and avg. PA= 20

Predicted Outcome: 29-28 (Arizona State)

Champs Sports Bowl

Boston College: avg. PF= 29 and avg. PA= 20

Michigan State: avg. PF= 34 and avg. PA= 27

Predicted Outcome: 28-27 (Boston College)

Texas Bowl

Texas Christian: avg. PF= 27 and avg. PA= 19

Houston: avg. PF= 36 and avg. PA= 30

Predicted Outcome: 29-28 (Texas Christian)

Emerald Bowl

Oregon State: avg. PF= 28 and avg. PA= 23

Maryland: avg. PF= 25 and avg. PA= 22

Predicted Outcome: 25-24 (Oregon State)

Car Care Bowl

Wake Forest: avg. PF= 28 and avg. PA= 23

Connecticut: avg. PF= 28 and avg. PA= 19

Predicted Outcome: 26-24 (Connecticut)

Liberty Bowl

Mississippi State: avg. PF= 22 and avg. PA= 25

Central Florida: avg. PF= 38 and avg. PA= 28

Predicted Outcome: 32-25 (Central Florida)

Alamo Bowl

Penn State: avg. PF= 31 and avg. PA= 18

Texas A&M: avg. PF= 29 and avg. PA= 26

Predicted Outcome: 29-24 (Penn State)

Independence Bowl

Alabama: avg. PF= 27 and avg. PA=22

Colorado: avg. PF= 28 and avg. PA= 29

Predicted Outcome: 28-25 (Alabama)

Armed Forces Bowl

Air Force: avg. PF= 29 and avg. PA=19

California: avg. PF= 28 and avg. PA= 26

Predicted Outcome: 28-24 (Air Force)

Humanitarian Bowl

Georgia Tech: avg. PF= 26 and avg. PA= 19

Fresno State: avg. PF= 32 and avg. PA= 27

Predicted Outcome: 27-26 (Georgia Tech)

Sun Bowl

South Florida: avg. PF= 36 and avg. PA= 21

Oregon: avg. PF= 37 and avg. PA= 24

Predicted Outcome: 30-29 (South Florida)

Music City Bowl

Kentucky: avg. PF= 37 and avg. PA= 30

Florida State: avg. PF= 23 and avg. PA= 22

Predicted Outcome: 30-27 (Kentucky)

Insight Bowl

Indiana: avg. PF= 32 and avg. PA= 27

Oklahoma State: avg. PF= 33 and avg. PA= 29

Predicted Outcome: 31-30 (Indiana)

Chic-fil-A Bowl

Clemson: avg. PF= 34 and avg. PA= 18

Auburn: avg. PF= 24 and avg. PA= 15

Predicted Outcome: 25-21 (Clemson)

Outback Bowl

Tennessee: avg. PF= 33 and avg. PA= 28

Wisconsin: avg. PF= 31 and avg. PA= 23

Predicted Outcome: 30-28 (Wisconsin)

Cotton Bowl

Missouri: avg. PF= 40 and avg. PA= 25

Arkansas: avg. PF= 40 and avg. PA= 26

Predicted Outcome: 33-33 (Overtime)

Gator Bowl

Texas Tech: avg. PF= 41 and avg. PA= 26

Virginia: avg. PF= 24 and avg. PA= 19

Predicted Outcome: 30-25 (Texas Tech)

Capital One Bowl

Florida: avg. PF= 43 and avg. PA= 24

Michigan: avg. PF= 26 and avg. PA= 20

Predicted Outcome: 32-25 (Florida)

Fiesta Bowl

Oklahoma: avg. PF= 43 and avg. PA= 18

West Virginia: avg. PF= 39 and avg. PA= 17

Predicted Outcome: 30-29 (Oklahoma)

Rose Bowl

Southern California: avg. PF= 31 and avg. PA= 16

Illinois: avg. PF= 29 and avg. PA= 20

Predicted Outcome: 26-23 (Southern Cal)

Orange Bowl

Kansas: avg. PF= 44 and avg. PA= 16

Virginia Tech: avg. PF= 29 and avg. PA= 15

Predicted Outcome: 30-23 (Kansas)

Sugar Bowl

Georgia: avg. PF= 32 and avg. PA= 21

Hawaii: avg. PF= 46 and avg. PA= 24

Predicted Outcome: 34-28 (Hawaii)

BCS National Championship

Louisiana State: avg. PF= 39 and avg. PA= 20

Ohio State: avg. PF= 32 and avg. PA= 11

Predicted Outcome: 26-25 (Ohio State)

Most avg. PF= Hawaii (46)

Most avg. PA= Central Michigan (36)

Least avg. PF= Mississippi State (22)

Least avg. PA= Ohio State (11)

[rams80]

Skynet really needs a strength of schedule component.

[Drew22]

See, but Hawaii has been getting the 46 points a game against subpar opponents, and only allowing 24 a game to subpar opponents. Georgia is more than subpar.