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Money Ball/Sabermetrics in Hockey


Redlands, CA

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It won't work in hockey. To quote from the Sabermetric Manifesto:

The reasons that such analysis is possible are the same reasons that

make statistics more interesting in baseball than in other sports.

Baseball statistics can measure individual performance, independent of

what other players do.  And while the importance of an individual event

depends on the situation, the effect of the situations on the importance

of the statistic over a large sample such as a season is not great.

When a batter hits a single, this describes what he did; when a

quarterback throws a ten-yard pass, the guard who took out a linebacker

gets no statistical credit.  And the batter who received a single is

properly credited for a success; the ten-yard pass may have been a

failure if it was third down with 13 yards to go.  Thus it is reasonable

for the goal of a baseball statistic to be to measure a player's

individual contribution to runs or wins.

http://www.baseball1.com/bb-data/grabiner/manifesto.html

It works for baseball (although that can be debatable) because it is a game of individual matchups in a team game. Hockey isn't that type of game. thus it won't work.

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