Phil Posted December 15, 2004 Share Posted December 15, 2004 I plunked myself down in front of the tube for some recap and analysis, and lo and behold, I found myself taking notes. (Maybe it's the journalist in me, or maybe I've just been in school for far too long.)-Gary Bettman started out with the base public support, but Goodenow's PR work has been masterful so far, especially working out of that hole he started in. However, does anyone get the feeling their spending a lot of time trying to appeal to the only group that doesn't have a say in the negotiations?-Further thoughts on Goodenow. He's a terrific leader it would seem, and clearly has the upper hand in a personal comparison to Bettman. However, in this case, it's more important to be big than good, and Bettman trumps the PA there.-The players really can't win. I mean, they've basically been in damage control-mode the whole way, negotiating to lose as little as possible. However, the owners ultimately have the power to force the issue... indefinitely if they want.-The way I see it, Goodenow's success will also be his downfall. His success at creating the situation that led up to the lockout (very player friendly to say the least) and making it very clear they will not accept a cap. However, he the owners, as previously stated, have the power to say there will be a cap, and so unless Goodenow convinces them otherwise (which I don't foresee), the PA will have to succumb. After all that rhetoric about not accepting a cap... I have a feeling it will be a tough pill to swallow.-The players would be wise to start negotiating on the cap now. They've lost the battle for no cap... they couldn't convince the NHL otherwise, and I think today's was the deciding battle. The PA played their ace in the hole by flashing the attractive 24%, hoping to catch owners off guard and getting enough support to pull a fast one. It didn't play out that way. The PA will not win the cap, so fall back from that doomed position and try to win the cap war, and give yourselves the best of bad situations.-The longer the lockout goes on... the worse those situations become. TSN's Bob McKenzie made a great point that the pie will get smaller as the lockout drags on... expected future revenues are falling as the stoppage continues.-The owners attempts to turn the lower-earning PA members against the PA is not very secretive. It's so overt, one wonders how it could be successful. But I have a feeling that when players start realizing these "attempts" could mean the difference between a Hummer/Beamer and Rav4/Sonata, you don't question the tactics as much. People make a lot of the 1.8 mean salary, but there's a lot more players below that number than above it.-I think Bettman's a rat, but boy, I'd hate to be in Bob Goodenow's shoes. He's proven to be a very capable union boss, but he'll be a legend in labour circles if he comes out of this one with a smile on his face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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