Jump to content

Bracketology Thread


buzzcut

Recommended Posts

I figure that with Selection Sunday two months away, we should start a bracketology thread, where everyone can post their projections for the NCAA tournament.

Here's my first projection:

Final Four pairings:

Washington vs. Minneapolis

Atlanta vs. Oakland

Washington region

@ Greensboro, NC

1-Duke(ACC) vs. 16-UC Irvine(Big West)

8-UAB vs. 9-Mississippi

@ Salt Lake City

4-Ohio State vs. 13-Miami(OH)(MAC)

5-Arizona vs. 12-Marquette

@ Dallas

2-Texas(Big 12) vs. 15-Robert Morris(Northeast)

7-Southern Illinois(MVC) vs. 10-Rutgers

@ Dayton, OH

3-Illinois vs. 14-Murray State(OVC)

6-Syracuse vs. 11-Arkansas

Minneapolis region

@ Auburn Hills, MI

1-Wisconsin(Big Ten) vs. 16-Wright State(Horizon)

8-LSU vs. 9-Boston College

@ Jacksonville, FL

4-West Virginia(Big East) vs. 13-Northwestern State(Southland)

5-George Washington(A-10) vs. 12-Manhattan(MAAC)

@ Philadelphia

2-Connecticut vs. 15-Southern(SWAC)

7-Creighton vs. 10-Michigan

@ Greensboro

3-NC State vs. 14-Winthrop(Big South)

6-Bucknell(Patriot) vs. 11-Kentucky(this is not a mistake, honestly)

Atlanta region

@ Jacksonville

1-Florida(SEC) vs. 16-Delaware State(MEAC)

8-Cincinnati vs. 9-Washington

@ San Diego

4-Indiana vs. 13-Western Kentucky(Sun Belt)

5-Northern Iowa vs. 12-Nevada

@ Salt Lake City

2-Gonzaga(West Coast) vs. 15-Sacramento State(Big Sky)

7-Vanderbilt vs. 10-Xavier

@ Dayton

3-Villanova vs. 14-Harvard(Ivy)

6-Iowa vs. 11-Old Dominion(Colonial)

Oakland region

@ Dallas

1-Memphis(CUSA) vs. 16-Opening Round winner

Opening Round: Elon(Southern) vs. Florida Atlantic(Atlantic Sun)

8-Louisville vs. 9-Air Force(MWC)

@ Auburn Hills

4-Michigan State vs. 13-Louisiana Tech(WAC)

5-Maryland vs. 12-Wichita State

@ Philadelphia

2-Pittsburgh vs. 15-Albany(America East)

7-Tennessee vs. 10-UW-Milwaukee

@ San Diego

3-UCLA(Pac-10) vs. 14-Valparaiso(Mid-Con)

6-North Carolina vs. 11-Nebraska

Last five in: Kentucky, Nebraska, Wichita State, Marquette, Nevada

Last five out: Oklahoma, Iowa State, Wake Forest, Miami(FL), Missouri

State

Next five out: Georgetown, California, Wyoming, Florida State, Charlotte

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A few complaints here...

-How the hell does Wisconsin get a number 1 seed? Pitt deserves that seed more because of their current record (15-0, I believe) and win over the same Wisconsin team. How you can job an unbeaten like the Panthers is beyond me.

-Kentucky doesn't deserve to go right now. 0-2 in the SEC and a weak OoC schedule after finishing third in the Guardians Classic. To me, that's not good enough for the Wildcats.

-Bucknell a 6 seed?!? You're crazy! How does Bucknell get a 6 seed considering that the Patriot League is one of the weaker conferences in Division I right now. It doesn't make sense.

-Although you're right with Florida Atlantic as the A-Sun rep, they're in only because current conference leader (and Division I newbie) Kennesaw State is ineligible to compete for the NCAA championship.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Can't Villanova play at the Wachovia Center this year? I heard during the game v. West Virginia that the WVU game and the Oklahoma game were played on campus so that Villanova only played a couple games down in South Philly. If they played any more at the Wachovia Center this year, it'd be considered a full-time home court, and they wouldn't be allowed to play NCAA games there. VU basically gave up some box office cash for two games that would have sold 11,000 more tickets for the chance at playing games in Philadelphia. So why would they be seeded for Dayton?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Can't Villanova play at the Wachovia Center this year? I heard during the game v. West Virginia that the WVU game and the Oklahoma game were played on campus so that Villanova only played a couple games down in South Philly. If they played any more at the Wachovia Center this year, it'd be considered a full-time home court, and they wouldn't be allowed to play NCAA games there. VU basically gave up some box office cash for two games that would have sold 11,000 more tickets for the chance at playing games in Philadelphia. So why would they be seeded for Dayton?

THey can, yes.

But from what I see, he gave the Philly spots to Pitt and UConn, both 2 seeds to Nova's 3. I think Pitt might be as close to Dayton as they are to Philly though, so it'd make more sense to send Pitt to Dayton.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Can't Villanova play at the Wachovia Center this year?  I heard during the game v. West Virginia that the WVU game and the Oklahoma game were played on campus so that Villanova only played a couple games down in South Philly.  If they played any more at the Wachovia Center this year, it'd be considered a full-time home court, and they wouldn't be allowed to play NCAA games there.  VU basically gave up some box office cash for two games that would have sold 11,000 more tickets for the chance at playing games in Philadelphia.  So why would they be seeded for Dayton?

THey can, yes.

But from what I see, he gave the Philly spots to Pitt and UConn, both 2 seeds to Nova's 3. I think Pitt might be as close to Dayton as they are to Philly though, so it'd make more sense to send Pitt to Dayton.

I know Syracuse wasnt allowed to play at the Carrier Dome last year but that is their home court for 20+ games.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

All I can say at this point is that Gonzaga is once again the most overrated team in the NCAA. They only beat LMU by 12 last night, on their home court, and that was with a couple of 20 something to 5 something runs. Heck, U-Dub beat us by almost 50, and that was before Daryl Pegram and Adoyah Miller got hurt. Plus, let's forget that LMU's without our only true point guard, Damian Martin, who's redshirting after he tore his Achilles' tendon while training for the Australian national team. Yes, the Zags once again are completely overrated, as is their star player, 70s porn star mustache and all.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

although i like what you have said, i woud have to say that Creighton would not get a 7 seed. They have lost their key player (Nate Funk), and they are 4th in their conference, which is low for them. I can not see them being able to compete with the conference leaders. and the suprising teams in the conference

I would say that NEbraska will not be the last five in , they will probably get an 8 seed tops. They have played as a team lately, being 1st in the big 12. I know the big 12 isnt a conference really anymore, with a lot of power houses losing lately. Their 2 sophmores, Alex Maric (Austrailin, for those who care), and Joe McCray have contributed a lot lately, as well as JAson D.

THe most likely case senario is that Nebraska goes on a losing streak and goes to the NIT, while creighton wins almost 90% of the rest of their games, and winning the Mo Valley conference.

Im done for now.(ill see what else i can find to argue about)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I believe that it only applies to Regional hosts. Since Philly is not a Regional host, then Villanova would go there (Provided they don't screw up here against Seton Hall tonight).

Oh, and natsfan: You live in Omaha and you're badmouthing the Jays? *SMACK!*

You know they're just waiting for March where they buzzsaw through the MVC tourny once again. Trust me. Also, doesn't the win over a very good UNI team mean anything? Think about it.... Northern Iowa has wins over LSU, Dayton, and (just recently) Southern Illinois. Beating UNI, a preseason favorite, ought to mean something.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I believe that it only applies to Regional hosts. Since Philly is not a Regional host, then Villanova would go there (Provided they don't screw up here against Seton Hall tonight).

Oh, and natsfan: You live in Omaha and you're badmouthing the Jays? *SMACK!*

You know they're just waiting for March where they buzzsaw through the MVC tourny once again. Trust me. Also, doesn't the win over a very good UNI team mean anything? Think about it.... Northern Iowa has wins over LSU, Dayton, and (just recently) Southern Illinois. Beating UNI, a preseason favorite, ought to mean something.

Not if Bradley beats them first (I still hope this is the year they play up to their potential).

Oh well...irregardless it's going to be cool to watch the MVC title game on National Television. ^_^

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I believe that it only applies to Regional hosts. Since Philly is not a Regional host, then Villanova would go there (Provided they don't screw up here against Seton Hall tonight).

Oh, and natsfan: You live in Omaha and you're badmouthing the Jays? *SMACK!*

You know they're just waiting for March where they buzzsaw through the MVC tourny once again. Trust me. Also, doesn't the win over a very good UNI team mean anything? Think about it.... Northern Iowa has wins over LSU, Dayton, and (just recently) Southern Illinois. Beating UNI, a preseason favorite, ought to mean something.

It applies to subregional hosts. The A-10 hosts the Philly subregional, not Villanova -- but the rule also says you can't play an NCAA tournament game (prior to the Final Four) in an arena where you played more than three home games.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

...irregardless

:cursing:

Beat me by a full day. But I guess that's a mute point now, eh?

Thanks for clarifying the rule, WM. I knew they were being especially careful about it this year, just in case this arose.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

i dont see the Valley getting more than one team in the tournament when you all know conferences like the Big East and Big 10 or even Big 12 could get anywhere from 5 to 8 teams, althought the Big East would be the only one to get 8. but there are just too many good teams in good conferences for someone like the Valley to get an at large. just something to think about.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

i dont see the Valley getting more than one team in the tournament when you all know conferences like the Big East and Big 10 or even Big 12 could get anywhere from 5 to 8 teams, althought the Big East would be the only one to get 8. but there are just too many good teams in good conferences for someone like the Valley to get an at large. just something to think about.

I disagree with that. For every conference that has improved its profile, there are just that many that are suffering down years (Conference USA and the Atlantic 10 are two that come to mind). Currently, ESPN is projecting that four teams from the Missouri Valley (Wichita State, Northern Iowa, Southern Illinois, Creighton) will make the final 65. Heck, they're projecting an at-large bid for UW-Milwaukee right now (they're second in the Horizon League but have a Top 25 RPI ranking).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Here are the latest bracket projections for the field of 65:

Final Four Pairings

Washington vs. Oakland

Atlanta vs. Minneapolis

Washington region

@ Philadelphia

1-Connecticut vs. 16-Opening Round Winner

Opening Round: Binghamton(America East) vs. Elon(Southern)

8-Xavier vs. 9-Creighton

@ Greensboro, NC

4-North Carolina State vs. 13-Winthrop(Big South)

5-Wisconsin vs. 12-Akron(MAC)

@ Salt Lake City

2-Gonzaga(West Coast) vs. 15-UC Irvine(Big West)

7-Arizona vs. 10-Colorado

@ Dayton, OH

3-Illinois vs. 14-Tennessee Tech(Ohio Valley)

6-Syracuse vs. 11-Air Force

Oakland region

@ Dallas

1-Texas(Big 12) vs. 16-IUPUI(Mid-Con)

8-Iowa vs. 9-Vanderbilt

@ Salt Lake City

4-Washington(Pac-10) vs. 13-San Diego State(MWC)

5-Tennessee vs. 12-Nevada

@ Philadelphia

2-Villanova vs. 15-Delaware State(MEAC)

7-UAB(C-USA) vs. 10-Marquette

@ Auburn Hills, MI

3-Indiana(Big Ten) vs. 14-Western Kentucky(Sun Belt)

6-Northern Iowa vs. 11-Old Dominion(Colonial)

Atlanta region

@ Greensboro

1-Duke(ACC) vs. 16-Monmouth(Northeast)

8-Southern Illinois(MVC) vs. 9-Cincinnati

@ Jacksonville, FL

4-George Washington(A-10) vs. 13-UW-Milwaukee(Horizon)

5-Louisiana State(SEC vs. 12-Manhattan(MAAC)

@ Auburn Hills

2-Michigan State vs. 15-Florida Atlantic(Atlantic Sun)

7-Bucknell(Patriot) vs. 10-Kentucky

@ Dayton

3-West Virginia(Big East) vs. 14-Louisiana Tech(WAC)

6-Maryland vs. 11-Oklahoma

Minneapolis region

@ Dallas

1-Memphis vs. 16-Southern University(SWAC)

8-Iowa State vs. 9-Boston College

@ San Diego

4-UCLA vs. 13-Northwestern State(Southland)

5-Ohio State vs. 12-St. John's

@ Jacksonville

2-Florida vs. 15-Harvard(Ivy)

7-Georgetown vs. 10-Michigan

@ San Diego

3-Pittsburgh vs. 14-Northern Arizona(Big Sky)

6-North Carolina vs. 11-Wichita State

last five in: Marquette, Wichita State, Oklahoma, St. John's, Nevada

last five out: Miami(FL), Iona, Kansas State, Missouri State, Arkansas

next five out: Kansas, UTEP, Rutgers, Wake Forest, George Mason

multi-bid conferences: Big East(9), Big Ten(7), ACC(5), SEC(5), Big 12(4), MVC(4), Pac-10(3), A-10(2), C-USA(2), MWC(2), WAC(2)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Newest projection now available for your perusing:

Final Four Pairings

Atlanta vs. Minneapolis

Washington vs. Oakland

Atlanta region

@ Greensboro, NC

1-Duke(ACC) vs. 16-Southern(SWAC)

8-Xavier vs. 9-Arizona

@ Salt Lake City

4-Northern Iowa vs. 13-Western Kentucky(Sun Belt)

5-West Virginia(Big East) vs. 12-San Diego State(MWC)

@ Jacksonville, FL

2-Florida vs. 15-Northern Arizona(Big Sky)

7-Oklahoma vs. 10-Kentucky

@ Auburn Hills, MI

3-Pittsburgh vs. 14-Pennsylvania(Ivy)

6-Ohio State vs. 11-UNC Wilmington(Colonial)

Minneapolis region

@ Dayton, OH

1-Illinois(Big Ten) vs. 16-IUPUI(Mid-Con)

8-Seton Hall vs. 9-Colorado

@ Greensboro

4-George Washington(A-10) vs. 13-Winthrop(Big South)

5-NC State vs. 12-George Mason

@ Philadelphia

2-Villanova vs. 15-Delaware State(MEAC)

7-UAB vs. 10-Wichita State

@ San Diego

3-UCLA(Pac-10) vs. 14-Samford(Ohio Valley)

6-Wisconsin vs. 11-Kansas

Washington D.C. region

@ Philadelphia

1-Connecticut vs. 16-Opening Round winner

Opening Round: Central Connecticut State(Northeast) vs. Elon(Southern)

8-Southern Illinois(MVC) vs. 9-Indiana

@ San Diego

4-Louisiana State(SEC) vs. 13-Utah State

5-Iowa vs. 12-Air Force

@ Salt Lake City

2-Gonzaga(WCC) vs. 15-UC Irvine(Big West)

7-Bucknell(Patriot) vs. 10-Marquette

@ Auburn Hills

3-Michigan State vs. 14-Akron(MAC)

6-Maryland vs. 11-Vanderbilt

Oakland region

@ Dallas

1-Memphis(CUSA) vs. 16-Lipscomb(Atlantic Sun)

8-Creighton vs. 9-North Carolina

@ Jacksonville

4-Tennessee vs. 13-Northwestern State(Southland)

5-Georgetown vs. 12-UW-Milwaukee(Horizon)

@ Dallas

2-Texas(Big 12) vs. 15-Albany(America East)

7-Washington vs. 10-Iona(MAAC)

@ Dayton

3-Michigan vs. 14-Louisiana Tech(WAC)

6-Boston College vs. 11-Syracuse

Last five in: Kansas, Vanderbilt, Air Force, George Mason, Utah State

Last five out: Temple, Cincinnati, California, Iowa State, Arkansas

Next five out: Miami(FL), Alabama, Old Dominion, Stanford, Missouri

State

Multiple-Bid Conferences: Big East(8), Big Ten(7), ACC(5), SEC(5), Big

12(4), MVC(4), Pac-10(3), A-10(2), Colonial(2), CUSA(2), MWC(2), WAC(2)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

New projections (for those who care)

Final Four Pairings

Washington D.C. vs. Minneapolis

Atlanta vs. Oakland

Washington regional

@ Philadelphia

1-Connecticut vs. 16-Opening Round Winner

Opening Round: Elon(Southern) vs. Southern(SWAC)

8-Wichita State vs. 9-UAB

@ San Diego

4-George Washington(A-10) vs. 13-Colorado

5-North Carolina vs. 12-Kent State(MAC)

@ Dayton

2-Illinois vs. 15-Albany(America East)

7-Oklahoma vs. 10-Nevada(WAC)

@ Jacksonville

3-Florida vs. 14-UC Irvine(Big West)

6-Boston College vs. 11-Stanford

Minneapolis region

@ Philadelphia

1-Villanova vs. 16-Delaware State(MEAC)

8-Washington vs. 9-Kentucky

@ Auburn Hills

4-Michigan State vs. 13-Western Kentucky(Sun Belt)

5-NC State vs. 12-Missouri State

@ Dallas

2-Texas(Big 12) vs. 15-FDU(Northeast)

7-Seton Hall vs. 10-Southern Illinois

@ Greensboro

3-Tennessee vs. 14-Northwestern State(Southland)

6-Ohio State vs. 11-Miami(FL)

Atlanta region

@ Greensboro

1-Duke(ACC) vs. 16-Lipscomb(Atlantic Sun)

8-Marquette vs. 9-California

@ Jacksonville

4-Georgetown vs. 13-Iona(MAAC)

5-Louisiana State(SEC) vs. 12-Utah State

@ Dayton

2-West Virginia(Big East) vs. 15-IUPUI(Mid-Con)

7-Bucknell(Patriot) vs. 10-Alabama

@ Salt Lake City

3-Iowa(Big Ten) vs. 14-Pennsylvania(Ivy)

6-Creighton(MVC) vs. 11-San Diego State(MWC)

Oakland region

@ Dallas

1-Memphis(C-USA) vs. 16-Birmingham-Southern(Big South)

8-Indiana vs. 9-George Mason(Colonial)

@ Auburn Hills

4-Pittsburgh vs. 13-UW-Milwaukee(Horizon)

5-Northern Iowa vs. 12-Georgia

@ Salt Lake City

2-Gonzaga(West Coast) vs. 15-Northern Arizona(Big Sky)

7-Kansas vs. 10-Wisconsin

@ San Diego

3-UCLA(Pac-10) vs. 14-Murray State(Ohio Valley)

6-Michigan vs. 11-Syracuse

Last five in: Stanford, Missouri State, Georgia, Utah State, Colorado

Last five out: Maryland, Arizona, Cincinnati, Iowa State, Xavier

Next five out: UTEP, Nebraska, Air Force, Virginia, Arkansas

Multiple-bid conferences: Big East(8), Big Ten(7), SEC(6), ACC(5), MVC(5), Big 12(4), Pac-10(4), C-USA(2), WAC(2)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6-Michigan vs. 11-Syracuse

Oh no! It's what I've dread for years. My alma mater playing against the team I grew up loving right next door. What do I do?

If anyone is interested in playing in the yahoo tournament challenge when it opens, please PM me. I've run a kick ass pool on yahoo for 5 years no and seek a few more college hoops know-it-alls. Thanms.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have an idea, ROC. Take no sides if it happens. This way, you won't have any issues.

Anyway, I have to throw in my two cents...

-Okay, on what basis do you have Bucknell as a 7 seed? I'm sorry, but isn't the Patriot League near the bottom half of the Conference RPI Standings? Also, outside of a win at Syracuse, what else have the Bison done to deserve that 7th seed?

-Five out of the Missouri Valley? Nah. Missouri State won't make it. The top four teams would make it, but Missouri State won't make it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.